Social-first prediction market that rewards you for sharing your conviction.
Let me ask you something: when was the last time you made a bet on something you knew absolutely nothing about?
You don’t. Nobody does.
Trading, speculating, and betting are social activities. You read something, you argue with a friend, you see what smart people are saying, and you build conviction. That’s how every meaningful trade is born. Many of the best analysts already bet on their ideas and then post their analysis on platforms like X to prove a point. Their only reward for swaying the crowd is ego. We think that’s a waste.
Foresight is a social prediction market built to change this. We believe that if your analysis is valuable enough to influence others, you should get a piece of the action. Our platform allows you to generate a unique, shareable link with every bet you make. When your content convinces others to trade using that link, you earn a direct commission from the activity you generate.
To ensure this system isn't gamed, we have a simple rule: the Skin-in-the-Game Cap. You can only earn commissions up to the value of your own stake. You can't profit from sharing an opinion you aren't willing to back with your own capital. This aligns everyone's incentives towards a single goal: surfacing high-quality, genuine conviction.
Prediction markets have failed to take off because they miss the point. They are plagued by two fundamental flaws that we are here to solve.
2.1. The Information Gap Traditional prediction markets are intimidating. They present odds as a number on a screen, offering no insight into the reasoning that shaped them. For anyone who isn't a professional trader, these platforms are a black box, making it nearly impossible to participate with confidence.
2.2. The Value Gap The most valuable work in speculation—the research, the analysis, the creation of a compelling argument—happens out in the open on social platforms. Creators build audiences and drive narratives. They might profit from their own bet, but they get nothing for the immense value they create when their analysis inspires others to act. The conversation drives the market, but the people driving the conversation are left with nothing but bragging rights.
Foresight is not another sterile trading venue. We are a living ecosystem designed to connect social influence directly to financial reward. Our approach is founded on two core principles: rewarding direct influence and rewarding quality analysis.
Rewarding the Narrative Itself We also recognize that influence isn't just about who clicks a link. The most valuable analysis tells a story, provides deep context, and shapes the entire conversation around a market. This work has immense value even if it doesn't result in a direct trade. Foresight is being built with mechanisms to reward high-quality content that gains traction and proves to be insightful. We believe in rewarding not just the final action, but the valuable signals that build collective conviction.
The Foresight protocol is designed to be straightforward, with transparent mechanics that ensure fairness. The entire system revolves around "skin-in-the-game."
1. Placing a Bet: Acquiring Market Shares A user chooses a market (e.g., "Will Event X happen by Date Y?") and buys shares of an outcome.